tlktlk
0xebe1d85f52f446e8e59fdd3ab1c35b57310d1179
- Realised P&L
- $-177.03
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $787.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.13at 0.101Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$36.60at 0.450US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?
- +$4.74at 0.900Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?
- +$3.76at 0.930U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?
- +$2.99at 0.770Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 12:32 | AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.7599999878 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 06:24 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3699999926 | $30.00 |
| 07-14 21:06 | US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 07-14 21:04 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.567 | $56.13 |
| 07-03 21:11 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.3899999902 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 11:53 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.101 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 11:50 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1839999853 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 11:41 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 11:41 | Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999947 | $10.00 |
| 04-29 06:07 | James Comey arrested by May 15? | BUY | 0.13 | $13.26 |
| 04-29 06:06 | Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.941 | $13.06 |
| 04-10 11:17 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.8119999113 | $5.93 |
| 04-10 11:16 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.5299999899 | $10.00 |
| 04-10 08:58 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 04-09 11:50 | GTA 6 launch postponed again? | BUY | 0.3699999771 | $10.00 |