PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tlktlk

0xebe1d85f52f446e8e59fdd3ab1c35b57310d1179

Realised P&L
$-177.03
Volume
$2.2k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$787.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8390.945$119.95+$13.41
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · No0.9100.975$107.09+$7.09
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · No0.6410.605$94.37$5.63
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8970.915$71.40+$1.40
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? · No0.9410.987$62.96+$2.96
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? · No0.8000.936$58.50+$8.50
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? · No0.8200.919$56.04+$6.04
Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? · No0.9400.978$51.99+$1.99
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3780.345$45.65$4.35
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9620.981$30.58+$0.58
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.8900.885$29.83$0.17
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2800.100$17.86$32.14
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? · No0.8900.915$10.28+$0.28
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? · No0.7600.755$9.93$0.07
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes0.5300.445$8.40$1.60

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 12:32AI data center in space by December 31, 2027?BUY0.7599999878$10.00
07-17 06:24Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3699999926$30.00
07-14 21:06US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999815$5.00
07-14 21:04Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.567$56.13
07-03 21:11Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.3899999902$20.00
07-02 11:53Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.101$10.00
07-02 11:50Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1839999853$10.00
07-02 11:41Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8899999996$20.00
07-02 11:41Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?BUY0.8899999947$10.00
04-29 06:07James Comey arrested by May 15?BUY0.13$13.26
04-29 06:06Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?SELL0.941$13.06
04-10 11:17Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.8119999113$5.93
04-10 11:162026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseBUY0.5299999899$10.00
04-10 08:58Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.2899999846$10.00
04-09 11:50GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.3699999771$10.00