PolyBot

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Traders

0xea12383c2cc0fc07d8c436a3ad1eb7362699b618

Realised P&L
$1.52
Volume
$28.10
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$10.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration99.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6541.000$3.06+$1.06
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? · Down0.3401.000$2.94+$1.94
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026? · No0.3200.470$1.47+$0.47
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.905$1.16+$0.16
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.3500.360$1.03+$0.03
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.4400.145$0.33$0.67
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7700.165$0.21$0.79
Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 02:11S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.33999983$1.00
08-04 18:09US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3499998775$1.00
08-04 09:49Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-04 01:47Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
08-03 17:42Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.63$1.00
08-03 09:42Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 14, 2026?BUY0.32$1.00
08-02 21:08Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.78$1.00
08-02 11:49Will Sunoco (SUN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-02 01:50US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.77$1.00
08-01 17:02Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.63$1.00
08-01 14:50Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.6799998912$1.00
08-01 02:01Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.498999505$1.00
07-31 17:37Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998317$1.00