0xEA0D70b12e2fDBB32353C9675fA9A81FF3515866-1773703901674
0xea0d70b12e2fdbb32353c9675fa9a81ff3515866
- Realised P&L
- $-9.7k
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 234
- Open portfolio
- $6.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded234
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.6kat 0.299Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
- +$5.2kat 0.494Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
- +$4.0kat 0.166Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET
- +$3.5kat 0.411Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
- +$3.2kat 0.394Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:01 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.42 | $630.00 |
| 07-26 22:10 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.044 | $30.55 |
| 07-26 22:09 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.21 | $525.00 |
| 07-26 22:05 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.156 | $74.67 |
| 07-26 22:01 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.043 | $11.18 |
| 07-26 22:00 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.043 | $321.03 |
| 07-26 21:58 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0418913421 | $102.40 |
| 07-26 21:51 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.0398392872 | $14.33 |
| 07-26 21:47 | Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.036 | $2.56 |
| 07-26 21:39 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.13 | $199.68 |
| 07-26 21:29 | Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | SELL | 0.1344096927 | $107.61 |
| 06-30 09:10 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.9k |
| 06-22 08:38 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | SELL | 0.992 | $1.5k |
| 06-14 11:25 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? | SELL | 0.89 | $854.65 |
| 06-11 12:31 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? | BUY | 0.127 | $127.00 |