PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xEA0D70b12e2fDBB32353C9675fA9A81FF3515866-1773703901674

0xea0d70b12e2fdbb32353c9675fa9a81ff3515866

Realised P&L
$-9.7k
Volume
$1.04M
Markets traded
234
Open portfolio
$6.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded234
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.2770.247$1.3k$159.74
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.085$1.1k$845.00
Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election? · Yes0.6800.665$1.0k$23.32
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1300.120$960.00$80.00
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.0420.045$888.08+$77.41
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.4200.415$622.50$7.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2100.205$512.50$12.50
Will the Salvator Mundi be publicly exhibited by December 31? · Yes0.1100.120$1.81+$0.15
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.1050.000$0.00$1000.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET · Up0.2390.000$0.00$499.94
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET · Up0.2090.000$0.00$3.4k
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET · Down0.3190.000$0.00$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET · Down0.3630.000$0.00$185.68
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET · Down0.3700.000$0.00$300.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET · Up0.4550.000$0.00$591.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:01Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.42$630.00
07-26 22:10Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.044$30.55
07-26 22:09Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.21$525.00
07-26 22:05Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.156$74.67
07-26 22:01Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.043$11.18
07-26 22:00Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.043$321.03
07-26 21:58Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0418913421$102.40
07-26 21:51Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.0398392872$14.33
07-26 21:47Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.036$2.56
07-26 21:39Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.13$199.68
07-26 21:29Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31?SELL0.1344096927$107.61
06-30 09:10Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?BUY0.15$1.9k
06-22 08:38Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?SELL0.992$1.5k
06-14 11:25Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?SELL0.89$854.65
06-11 12:31Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.127$127.00