PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe88e0aa864c32717d53ca25bd445d46663690475

Realised P&L
$-3.69
Volume
$63.26
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$14.87

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample7 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.8000.930$2.43+$0.34
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.815$2.18+$0.09
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7700.775$2.10+$0.01
Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? · No0.7900.770$2.04$0.05
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3800.330$1.81$0.27
Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.8000.675$1.76$0.33
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3500.270$1.61$0.48
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7500.375$0.94$0.94
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.2400.001$0.00$2.09

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 09:40US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.3499999246$2.09
08-04 01:38Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.8$2.09
08-04 01:34Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.38$2.09
08-03 17:32US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7699997495$2.09
08-03 09:29Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.8$2.09
08-02 21:03Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7799999701$2.09
08-02 15:35Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026?BUY0.7899999471$2.09
08-02 01:39US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.75$1.88
08-01 17:00Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.2399999219$2.09
08-01 03:38New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 19:37Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 11:34Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-30 21:04New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-29 13:10Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference?BUY0.369999931$2.09
07-28 22:02Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53