0xe88e0aa864c32717d53ca25bd445d46663690475
- Realised P&L
- $-3.69
- Volume
- $63.26
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $14.87
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.930 | $2.43 | +$0.34 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.815 | $2.18 | +$0.09 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.770 | 0.775 | $2.10 | +$0.01 |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? · No | 0.790 | 0.770 | $2.04 | −$0.05 |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.380 | 0.330 | $1.81 | −$0.27 |
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.675 | $1.76 | −$0.33 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.350 | 0.270 | $1.61 | −$0.48 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.750 | 0.375 | $0.94 | −$0.94 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No | 0.240 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$2.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.96at 0.520Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $72.50 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$0.00at 0.500New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:40 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.3499999246 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 01:38 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 01:34 | Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 17:32 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7699997495 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 09:29 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 21:03 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 15:35 | Will Iran target a Arab country on August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999471 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 01:39 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.75 | $1.88 |
| 08-01 17:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.2399999219 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 03:38 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 19:37 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 11:34 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-30 21:04 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-29 13:10 | Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.369999931 | $2.09 |
| 07-28 22:02 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |