Coldonn101
0xe6fd18067d9b8768ee4dc45e926cf54867288bc3
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $1.44M
- Markets traded
- 736
- Open portfolio
- $9.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded736
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration9.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.9kat 0.452 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.6kat 0.934US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$1.5kat 0.206Trump x Ukraine mineral deal signed before May?
- +$1.2kat 0.470Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Japan before July?
- +$1.1kat 0.246Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 19:10 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $251.29 |
| 08-04 14:57 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.541 | $112.34 |
| 08-04 14:56 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.464 | $232.00 |
| 08-04 14:55 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.786 | $238.28 |
| 08-04 14:53 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.89 | $534.00 |
| 08-04 14:52 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | SELL | 0.8 | $588.58 |
| 08-04 14:50 | Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $83.13 |
| 08-04 14:49 | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by December 31? | SELL | 0.89 | $14.97 |
| 08-04 14:49 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $197.16 |
| 08-04 13:32 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15? | BUY | 0.42 | $75.60 |
| 08-03 15:13 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.45 | $4.50 |
| 08-03 12:32 | Will Russia capture Bilytske by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $168.84 |
| 08-03 12:32 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.93 | $287.17 |
| 08-03 11:08 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $107.08 |
| 08-03 11:08 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.32 | $194.92 |