PolyBot

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Traders

0xe6e023bed2f8b80626d94800526cabf93ee9d72a

Realised P&L
$3.98
Volume
$88.88
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$18.01

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration40.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)29.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration31.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2800.785$5.61+$3.61
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026? · Yes0.4400.973$4.42+$2.42
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5? · Up0.5300.715$2.70+$0.70
Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%? · Yes0.4600.460$2.00+$0.00
Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026? · No0.7200.685$1.90$0.10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.7790.547$1.41$0.59

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-05 05:06WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
08-04 21:02Allstate (ALL) Q2 property-liability combined ratio <88%?BUY0.459999885$2.00
08-03 12:42Will China's CPI increase by between 1.1% and 1.2% over the 12 month period ending in July 2026?BUY0.7199997408$2.00
08-03 04:41Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4399999296$2.00
08-02 20:18Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.3399999422$2.00
08-02 11:59Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
08-02 10:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.7789999427$2.00
08-02 01:25US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.2799999048$2.00
08-02 01:23Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June?BUY0.71$2.00
08-01 17:05Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2599999272$2.00
08-01 03:47Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 30 to August 1, 2026?BUY0.41$1.23
07-31 19:44Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 11:43Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.6$1.80
07-30 22:53S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on July 31?BUY0.36$1.08
07-30 14:17Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.41$1.23