0xE63aded97d8cC547DF3f338fb817794aca216216-1773933504152
0xe63aded97d8cc547df3f338fb817794aca216216
- Realised P&L
- $-41.57
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 102
- Open portfolio
- $8.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded102
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.67at 0.150Iran successfully targets shipping on July 12?
- +$1.62at 0.966Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
- +$1.56at 0.390Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 26?
- +$1.50at 0.400Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24?
- +$1.44at 0.410Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 20?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 11:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:51 | Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 180m? | BUY | 0.74 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:50 | Israel agrees to Board of Peace Gaza plan by August 7? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 11:49 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.7329993293 | $1.00 |
| 07-24 14:41 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.8299999087 | $1.00 |
| 07-22 12:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET | BUY | 0.0162591372 | $4.77 |
| 07-21 13:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET | BUY | 0.1684569091 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 16:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5919998248 | $1.00 |
| 07-19 16:35 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5919998248 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 04:19 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 04:18 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.6699999196 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 08:13 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23? | BUY | 0.4099998237 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 08:13 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 22? | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |
| 07-16 08:13 | Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 21? | BUY | 0.3899998479 | $1.00 |