0xe51dcc4ad0054fb521d89140582d64a821096a60
- Realised P&L
- $-1.44
- Volume
- $46.94
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $15.10
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.740 | 1.000 | $2.82 | +$0.73 |
| Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.930 | $2.43 | +$0.34 |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No | 0.780 | 0.815 | $2.18 | +$0.09 |
| Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.715 | $2.08 | −$0.01 |
| Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026? · No | 0.710 | 0.635 | $1.87 | −$0.22 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.430 | 0.375 | $1.82 | −$0.27 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No | 0.310 | 0.270 | $1.82 | −$0.27 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No | 0.330 | 0.008 | $0.05 | −$2.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.500New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Another pandemic before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 09:36 | Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.09 |
| 08-04 01:33 | Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 17:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.3099999199 | $2.09 |
| 08-03 09:31 | Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999389 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 21:06 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.7799999701 | $2.09 |
| 08-02 07:16 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.429999893 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 22:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? | BUY | 0.3299999116 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 14:15 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.7399999929 | $2.09 |
| 08-01 05:19 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999264 | $2.08 |
| 07-31 21:18 | Another pandemic before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 13:17 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-30 23:46 | Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.04 |