PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xe51dcc4ad0054fb521d89140582d64a821096a60

Realised P&L
$-1.44
Volume
$46.94
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$15.10

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes0.7401.000$2.82+$0.73
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.8000.930$2.43+$0.34
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.815$2.18+$0.09
Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7200.715$2.08$0.01
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026? · No0.7100.635$1.87$0.22
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4300.375$1.82$0.27
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · No0.3100.270$1.82$0.27
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.3300.008$0.05$2.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 09:36Will MetLife (MET) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.72$2.09
08-04 01:33Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $72 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.8$2.09
08-03 17:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.3099999199$2.09
08-03 09:31Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $140 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.7099999389$2.09
08-02 21:06Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.7799999701$2.09
08-02 07:16US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.429999893$2.09
08-01 22:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.3299999116$2.09
08-01 14:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.7399999929$2.09
08-01 05:19New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999264$2.08
07-31 21:18Another pandemic before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.91
07-31 13:17New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-30 23:46Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.04