PolyBot

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Traders

0xe3cd3838927817ffa317c175fcc0780ab97535d5

Realised P&L
$15.24
Volume
$67.56
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$25.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar22.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.3800.815$4.70+$2.51
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15? · No0.2500.470$4.12+$1.93
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · No0.2400.415$3.79+$1.60
Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.2800.440$3.44+$1.25
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.6300.895$3.11+$0.92
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.8000.955$2.61+$0.42
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3800.450$2.59+$0.40
Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.3500.230$1.44$0.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-08 15:48Will Playboy (PLBY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.3499999441$2.19
08-08 07:10Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.2799999284$2.19
08-07 23:04Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 15?BUY0.25$2.19
08-07 14:54WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on August 7?BUY0.6599999578$2.19
08-07 06:39SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?BUY0.5499999121$2.19
08-06 21:35Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable?BUY0.7199999737$2.19
08-06 13:02US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.8$2.19
08-06 05:02US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.24$2.19
08-05 20:56Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.3799999514$2.19
08-05 12:38Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.5499999121$2.19
08-05 04:34Will Trump say "Manufacturing" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.6199999037$2.19
08-04 20:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3799999514$2.19
08-04 12:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.6299999799$2.19