utc22
0xe14915adc6dbc737fe3fdbacaa505ceb9b6b210a
- Realised P&L
- $-16.64
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 601
- Open portfolio
- $11.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded601
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.34at 0.010Bitcoin Up or Down - January 9, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET
- +$35.45at 0.220Will Elon Musk create a new political party in 2025?
- +$34.05at 0.299Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?
- +$12.84at 0.660Bitcoin Up or Down - January 4, 12PM ET
- +$12.38at 0.170Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 15:36 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.1299998986 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.059999946 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 15:34 | Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on August 6? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 08-05 15:20 | Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.0115384616 | $1.00 |
| 08-05 05:03 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.76 |
| 08-04 17:58 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 102-103°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:41 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.4199998236 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:28 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 17:24 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1799998704 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | SELL | 0.81 | $1.30 |
| 08-04 16:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 16:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | SELL | 0.53 | $1.43 |
| 08-04 16:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET | BUY | 0.3699998631 | $1.00 |