PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Blackred

0xde7ed2253d8da0b623e026b0e5ef55f4ca91396b

Realised P&L
$-4.4k
Volume
$1.37M
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? · Yes0.1580.175$451.50+$42.70
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3800.435$435.00+$55.00
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2160.195$433.61$46.81
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · Yes0.1540.125$400.00$91.99
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? · Yes0.0690.024$307.85$593.92
Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? · Yes0.2720.275$292.99+$3.10
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0070.006$292.50$22.50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3600.405$222.75+$24.75
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0270.024$178.60$26.20
Will Solana reach $90 in August? · Yes0.1100.125$164.90+$19.79
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.3600.265$148.40$53.20
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Korea" before 2027? · Yes0.2680.140$130.90$119.40
Bang Si-hyuk charged in 2026? · No0.2600.675$126.90+$78.02
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.4100.150$75.00$130.00
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.0790.008$40.80$360.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 11:57Will Solana reach $90 in August?BUY0.11$145.11
07-22 14:42Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?BUY0.14$203.00
07-18 22:15Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.997$379.81
07-17 01:452026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.16$192.00
07-16 22:022026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.15$17.75
07-15 23:06Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.005$13.91
07-15 23:01Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.42$160.00
07-15 21:27Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?SELL0.129$124.80
07-15 03:34England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5BUY0.3925$300.26
07-11 09:41Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.211$1.4k
07-10 04:49Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting?BUY0.12$21.00
07-08 11:36Will England win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.53$498.20
07-08 08:14Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.03$390.00
07-08 08:09France vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceSELL0.21$210.00
07-07 15:35Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt?BUY0.1$50.00
Trader Blackred · PolyBot