Blackred
0xde7ed2253d8da0b623e026b0e5ef55f4ca91396b
- Realised P&L
- $-4.4k
- Volume
- $1.37M
- Markets traded
- 129
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded129
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.2kat 0.296Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
- +$2.5kat 0.075US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$2.4kat 0.261US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$1.1kat 0.011Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$707.78at 0.403France vs. Spain: Team to Advance
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 11:57 | Will Solana reach $90 in August? | BUY | 0.11 | $145.11 |
| 07-22 14:42 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.14 | $203.00 |
| 07-18 22:15 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.997 | $379.81 |
| 07-17 01:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.16 | $192.00 |
| 07-16 22:02 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | BUY | 0.15 | $17.75 |
| 07-15 23:06 | Will Harry Kane be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.005 | $13.91 |
| 07-15 23:01 | Will Kylian Mbappe score 9+ goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.42 | $160.00 |
| 07-15 21:27 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.129 | $124.80 |
| 07-15 03:34 | England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.3925 | $300.26 |
| 07-11 09:41 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.211 | $1.4k |
| 07-10 04:49 | Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the July Meeting? | BUY | 0.12 | $21.00 |
| 07-08 11:36 | Will England win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.53 | $498.20 |
| 07-08 08:14 | Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.03 | $390.00 |
| 07-08 08:09 | France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.21 | $210.00 |
| 07-07 15:35 | Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Egypt? | BUY | 0.1 | $50.00 |