paulofnm
0xddb219abf5623d121a2ad51486c50f895a7fa9a9
- Realised P&L
- $261.43
- Volume
- $17.0k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $41.01
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$69.46at 0.082Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
- +$56.40at 0.017Will Robert Aramayo win Best Actor at the 2026 BAFTA Awards?
- +$28.00at 0.067Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?
- +$25.30at 0.150US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$23.80at 0.207Will the January 2026 unemployment rate be 4.3%?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 16:29 | Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in June? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.31 |
| 06-29 16:35 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.5399999784 | $2.00 |
| 06-18 13:29 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5799998144 | $3.00 |
| 06-15 12:27 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.94 | $18.80 |
| 06-13 15:02 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.1699999422 | $2.00 |
| 06-05 11:36 | Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.40 |
| 06-05 11:35 | Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.5%? | BUY | 0.08 | $2.00 |
| 06-03 13:57 | Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in May? | BUY | 0.2049999303 | $2.00 |
| 06-01 16:02 | Will the May 2026 unemployment rate be 4.4%? | BUY | 0.2727715175 | $4.00 |
| 06-01 10:49 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.679 | $5.28 |
| 05-23 22:48 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.89 |
| 05-23 16:01 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999272 | $2.00 |
| 05-23 15:50 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 05-22 20:15 | Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 05-22 20:15 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $2.00 |