PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Gr820incher

0xdd66c65d6ae2e31d727685f41cc9950a55782ec1

Realised P&L
$-864.55
Volume
$20.7k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$188.61

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.7500.925$131.79+$24.91
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? · No0.7870.885$26.55+$2.95
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? · Yes0.7800.925$9.25+$1.45
Will Donald Trump visit California in 2026? · Yes0.8900.758$7.58$1.32
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? · No0.7800.905$6.79+$0.94
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? · Yes0.7780.205$5.10$14.26
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.5100.155$1.55$3.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-02 02:03Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?BUY0.84$29.40
05-02 02:03Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.8$80.00
05-02 02:02Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?BUY0.82$16.40
04-23 05:52US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?BUY0.85$20.00
04-05 00:18Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.35$89.74
04-05 00:16Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.77$15.40
04-05 00:16Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?BUY0.88$17.60
04-05 00:15Israel military action against Yemen by April 15, 2026?BUY0.6$18.00
04-05 00:14Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 15, 2026?BUY0.84$16.80
04-05 00:04US forces enter Iran by April 30?SELL0.09$158.46
03-29 21:12US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.31$25.80
03-29 21:12US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.8598333333$25.79
03-28 03:09Will Trump visit China by May 31?BUY0.25$7.57
03-28 03:08Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31?SELL0.66$6.60
03-28 03:07Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.967$0.97