PolyBot

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Traders

0xdbc2de3135c201ddf9866abfa26ffc553d9a6fb9

Realised P&L
$0.33
Volume
$38.52
Markets traded
18
Open portfolio
$9.96

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded18
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration47.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample10 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.2400.835$3.48+$2.48
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6900.905$1.31+$0.31
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.3800.495$1.30+$0.30
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.7800.932$1.19+$0.19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.7900.905$1.15+$0.15
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8000.790$0.99$0.01
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.2400.105$0.44$0.56
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7? · Down0.5200.052$0.10$0.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 04:21SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 7?BUY0.52$1.00
08-07 03:01Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8$1.00
08-06 06:46S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.4$1.00
08-05 10:43S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
08-05 02:42Will Trump say "Waitress" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.7899999921$1.00
08-04 18:42US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
08-04 09:50Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.2799998432$1.00
08-04 01:47Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (HIGH) $900 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3899998479$1.00
08-03 17:43US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-03 09:42Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.7899999921$1.00
08-02 23:00Will Wynn Resorts (WYNN) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.64$1.00
08-02 11:54US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.78$1.00
08-02 01:47US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-01 16:51Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-01 01:51Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099998317$1.00