PolyBot

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Traders

0xdb579d9870a4d03297433bb919dafc7392a5bfb3

Realised P&L
$-13.49
Volume
$461.68
Markets traded
15
Open portfolio
$137.62

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded15
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration73.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by September 30? · No0.8920.925$33.19+$1.17
Iran leadership change by August 31? · No0.9490.964$31.32+$0.47
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? · No0.7300.955$15.57+$3.67
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · No0.7700.785$14.29+$0.27
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.2600.325$13.36+$2.67
Iran leadership change by August 15? · No0.9790.988$8.09+$0.07
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? · No0.8100.987$7.97+$1.43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.5440.185$6.93$13.45
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? · Yes0.4020.135$2.20$4.36
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? · Yes0.5980.165$2.03$5.34
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2600.285$1.42+$0.12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? · Yes0.5000.105$1.23$4.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-09 13:10Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.89$23.61
08-09 01:01Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.89$29.01
08-08 19:20US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?BUY0.2299999196$1.86
08-08 14:31Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026?BUY0.26$1.30
08-08 14:11US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.4599999584$2.43
08-08 14:10US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.44$2.23
08-08 12:07US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026?BUY0.729999989$11.90
08-08 11:30US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?BUY0.9199999951$7.51
08-08 10:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026?BUY0.8099999839$6.54
08-08 04:43US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026?BUY0.5$5.85
08-08 02:44US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?BUY0.6199999572$3.48
08-08 02:39US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026?BUY0.5799999851$3.89
08-08 00:00US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026?BUY0.5699999503$4.70
08-07 23:01Iran leadership change by August 15?BUY0.9789999574$8.02
08-07 22:23Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.9609999965$7.90