0xdb579d9870a4d03297433bb919dafc7392a5bfb3
- Realised P&L
- $-13.49
- Volume
- $461.68
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $137.62
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.77at 0.860Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027?
- +$0.65at 0.920US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026?
- +$-0.41at 0.830Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-09 13:10 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $23.61 |
| 08-09 01:01 | Will Wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027? | SELL | 0.89 | $29.01 |
| 08-08 19:20 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999196 | $1.86 |
| 08-08 14:31 | Another NATO Article 4 invocation by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.30 |
| 08-08 14:11 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999584 | $2.43 |
| 08-08 14:10 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.23 |
| 08-08 12:07 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.729999989 | $11.90 |
| 08-08 11:30 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999951 | $7.51 |
| 08-08 10:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.8099999839 | $6.54 |
| 08-08 04:43 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 12, 2026? | BUY | 0.5 | $5.85 |
| 08-08 02:44 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999572 | $3.48 |
| 08-08 02:39 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.5799999851 | $3.89 |
| 08-08 00:00 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.5699999503 | $4.70 |
| 08-07 23:01 | Iran leadership change by August 15? | BUY | 0.9789999574 | $8.02 |
| 08-07 22:23 | Iran leadership change by August 31? | BUY | 0.9609999965 | $7.90 |