PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xdb3cb5e6ab154e17d7bb40b023b02008dcf0833e

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$29.7k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$882.08

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)39.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? · Yes0.6500.705$799.77+$62.39
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes0.3900.415$60.65+$3.65
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1700.055$16.18$33.82
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.3500.192$5.47$4.53

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 07:27Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.3899999962$57.00
07-28 00:46Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?SELL0.29$49.42
07-27 13:40Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?BUY0.6799999946$115.89
07-24 14:23Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?BUY0.6499999998$737.38
07-19 12:09Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1$10.00
07-15 20:28Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.124$64.25
07-14 20:23Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0412435592$15.24
07-11 11:32Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0599999994$94.85
07-11 11:32Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?SELL0.93$100.44
07-01 02:32Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3339999983$123.42
07-01 02:31Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?SELL0.17$49.75
07-01 02:30Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?SELL0.0714400797$83.18
06-30 23:56Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.83$2.1k
06-30 23:43Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1929999981$100.00
06-30 23:41Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1089999991$100.00