rockclimber
0xd8345f47d3b78a65636ef56e444c7a4c9c4be011
- Realised P&L
- $-1.9k
- Volume
- $302.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,992
- Open portfolio
- $276.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,992
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$223.36at 0.102Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 101m?
- +$206.09at 0.671Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
- +$192.60at 0.022SPY (SPY) Up or Down on April 28?
- +$167.65at 0.555Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
- +$166.69at 0.726Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-20 23:13 | Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.6299999916 | $12.80 |
| 05-20 23:13 | Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup? | BUY | 0.869999996 | $17.60 |
| 05-19 18:34 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19? | SELL | 0.08 | $0.47 |
| 05-19 18:34 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 19? | BUY | 0.09 | $9.00 |
| 05-18 20:18 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18? | BUY | 0.3295736 | $8.24 |
| 05-18 20:18 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.80 |
| 05-18 15:58 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18? | BUY | 0.27 | $27.00 |
| 05-18 15:58 | SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 18? | BUY | 0.29 | $29.00 |
| 05-18 14:54 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 18? | SELL | 0.31 | $21.70 |
| 05-14 17:10 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 14? | BUY | 0.35 | $35.00 |
| 05-12 17:51 | Will Tim Cyr win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Democratic primary election? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.33 |
| 05-12 16:56 | Will San Diego Padres win the 2026 NL West title? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 05-12 16:56 | Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title? | BUY | 0.879999996 | $8.90 |
| 05-01 20:11 | Will Navitas Semiconductor (NVTS) beat quarterly earnings? | SELL | 0.5 | $10.00 |
| 05-01 19:32 | Will DeepSeek have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $18.00 |