PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xd81d5bd30cb4db424df95f24c8e074343b47531b

Realised P&L
$60.65
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
37
Open portfolio
$139.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded37
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample29 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · Yes0.0580.094$64.72+$24.73
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0740.021$32.91$86.09
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.6100.655$16.11+$1.11
US charges Hormuz fees by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0870.021$11.62$36.48
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.4700.430$9.15$0.85
US strike on Colombia by December 31? · Yes0.1900.265$2.79+$0.79
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.1380.095$1.38$0.62
Will Mojtaba Khamenei leave Iran by August 31? · Yes0.0670.017$0.51$1.49

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 17:36US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0581280762$20.00
08-02 17:35US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.64$19.69
08-02 17:34US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.0580559495$20.00
08-02 17:34US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6499999935$20.00
07-28 00:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?SELL0.042$1.75
07-28 00:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?SELL0.062204058$10.21
07-27 11:50Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?SELL0.72$16.36
07-25 23:20Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?SELL0.1181186667$106.31
07-25 19:41Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1304608865$106.78
07-25 19:40US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?SELL0.7215089531$107.58
07-25 19:36Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999879$9.00
07-24 20:42WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on July 24?SELL0.01$0.05
07-24 15:28WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on July 24?BUY0.7199999965$50.00
07-24 15:27WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on July 24?SELL0.023095007$2.14
07-24 14:53WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $90 on July 24?BUY0.5391447531$50.00