674447
0xd7dd2913e497de87148a13d2a9ee3a4c95981eb5
- Realised P&L
- $-58.27
- Volume
- $31.6k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $62.68
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? · No | 0.998 | 0.999 | $24.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? · Yes | 0.999 | 1.000 | $20.02 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.998 | $15.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.211 | $1.46 | −$0.54 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.984 | 0.991 | $1.21 | +$0.01 |
| Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$67.00 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025? · No | 0.908 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.74 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.53at 0.680Thunder vs. Cavaliers
- +$4.08at 0.710Clippers vs. Wizards
- +$3.87at 0.836Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
- +$2.52at 0.799Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirmed relationship by October 31?
- +$2.14at 0.720Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 03:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.00 |
| 08-05 03:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.9989999385 | $16.00 |
| 08-05 03:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 05:00 | Will Alibaba have the best Math AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 05:00 | Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $20.00 |
| 07-22 04:59 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 07-05 05:34 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.3099999357 | $2.70 |
| 07-05 05:33 | Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3099999972 | $67.00 |
| 06-20 06:53 | Will Ethereum reach $2,000 June 15-21? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.00 |
| 06-20 06:53 | Will Bitcoin dip to $54,000 June 15-21? | BUY | 0.9989997512 | $4.00 |
| 06-19 05:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on June 21? | BUY | 0.998 | $10.00 |
| 06-19 05:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 06-19 05:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 19? | BUY | 0.9989998761 | $8.00 |
| 06-19 03:54 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in June? | SELL | 0.998 | $14.38 |
| 06-19 03:54 | Will Solana dip to $10 in June? | SELL | 0.998 | $15.47 |