darek19
0xd761b1d0a2b46d57c1fe1e5bee6bc376a0e6a957
- Realised P&L
- $16.10
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 279
- Open portfolio
- $243.17
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded279
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration3.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$38.82at 0.340Will Trump say "Ceasefire" or "Peace Deal" during Address to the Nation?
- +$16.57at 0.274Will the US-Iran deal be physically signed by June 19, 2026?
- +$13.17at 0.110Will the Republican Party win the LA-06 House seat?
- +$12.38at 0.360Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
- +$11.13at 0.310Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 21:37 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" in August? | BUY | 0.7399998862 | $4.94 |
| 08-01 20:02 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.64 | $4.55 |
| 08-01 12:18 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | SELL | 0.66 | $0.38 |
| 08-01 12:07 | Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? | BUY | 0.64 | $4.92 |
| 07-28 23:34 | Will Trump say "Washington D.C." in August? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.97 |
| 07-28 18:23 | Will Trump say "Nobody Like Him" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.8399999932 | $4.96 |
| 07-28 12:31 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Fox & Friends appearance? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.25 |
| 07-28 12:24 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Fox & Friends appearance? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.48 |
| 07-28 12:24 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Fox & Friends appearance? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.28 |
| 07-28 11:31 | Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 4+ times during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.3799999719 | $4.86 |
| 07-28 10:39 | Will Trump say "Stock Market" during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.4799999803 | $4.88 |
| 07-28 10:38 | Will Trump say "Fake News" during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.5999999756 | $4.91 |
| 07-28 10:37 | Will Trump say "Communist" or "Communism" during Fox & Friends appearance? | BUY | 0.46 | $1.61 |
| 07-28 10:33 | Will The Odyssey win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.4199999515 | $4.85 |
| 07-22 06:59 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6899998684 | $4.93 |