swa3
0xceee5b3a06b6364db648464741d5ad042d2dd39e
- Realised P&L
- $-8.0k
- Volume
- $2.97M
- Markets traded
- 1,708
- Open portfolio
- $19.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,708
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration21.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.2kat 0.230Counter-Strike: FURIA vs GamerLegion (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Group B
- +$805.55at 0.575Ducks vs. Oilers
- +$770.00at 0.220Will Burnley FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?
- +$760.00at 0.240Ostrava: Dalibor Svrcina vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo
- +$751.53at 0.581Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-23 16:10 | Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.0k |
| 06-23 16:06 | Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.0k |
| 06-23 16:05 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $600.00 |
| 06-23 16:05 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.2199999999 | $2.0k |
| 06-23 16:05 | Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31? | BUY | 0.4199999999 | $1000.00 |
| 06-11 17:14 | Rodrigo Paz out as President of Bolivia by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.92 | $2.82 |
| 06-01 06:15 | Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $379.62 |
| 06-01 01:09 | Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by May 31? | SELL | 0.9860459365 | $296.65 |
| 05-31 16:10 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.999 | $791.51 |
| 05-31 16:08 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.999 | $791.51 |
| 05-31 16:06 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.981 | $98.10 |
| 05-31 16:03 | Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)? | SELL | 0.9846234265 | $138.45 |
| 05-30 13:58 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.979 | $88.11 |
| 05-30 10:59 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $128.47 |
| 05-30 10:40 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.976 | $50.75 |