PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

AlwaysRegressing

0xcbefb876789cc63b46b030af3cfe20b986f29ab0

Realised P&L
$-6.4k
Volume
$623.7k
Markets traded
313
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded313
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration68.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 22:07Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?BUY0.0699999992$81.99
07-11 20:28Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?BUY0.4999292017$90.00
07-08 22:51Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?SELL0.747$68.84
07-07 04:26Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?BUY0.657517569$10.00
07-02 18:17Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?BUY0.6699999982$11.00
07-02 15:35Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31?BUY0.7005404908$50.00
07-02 14:25Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?BUY0.3359710796$600.00
07-01 13:50Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?SELL0.9773232099$79.16
07-01 12:36Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026?SELL0.9$17.10
07-01 12:35Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026?BUY0.0868149756$8.00
07-01 12:35Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 6, 2026?BUY0.069999992$8.00
07-01 12:35Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026?BUY0.08$8.00
07-01 12:35Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 3, 2026?BUY0.0895670836$9.00
07-01 12:34Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026?BUY0.0711111111$8.00
07-01 12:34Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 2, 2026?BUY0.08$8.00