AlwaysRegressing
0xcbefb876789cc63b46b030af3cfe20b986f29ab0
- Realised P&L
- $-6.4k
- Volume
- $623.7k
- Markets traded
- 313
- Open portfolio
- $2.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded313
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration68.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.1kat 0.507Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
- +$1.1kat 0.482Nothing Ever Happens: May
- +$523.29at 0.694GTA 6 launch postponed again?
- +$248.52at 0.839Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$246.46at 0.058Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 7, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 22:07 | Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999992 | $81.99 |
| 07-11 20:28 | Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31? | BUY | 0.4999292017 | $90.00 |
| 07-08 22:51 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.747 | $68.84 |
| 07-07 04:26 | Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31? | BUY | 0.657517569 | $10.00 |
| 07-02 18:17 | Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31? | BUY | 0.6699999982 | $11.00 |
| 07-02 15:35 | Another GTA VI trailer released by July 31? | BUY | 0.7005404908 | $50.00 |
| 07-02 14:25 | Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? | BUY | 0.3359710796 | $600.00 |
| 07-01 13:50 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9773232099 | $79.16 |
| 07-01 12:36 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $17.10 |
| 07-01 12:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.0868149756 | $8.00 |
| 07-01 12:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 6, 2026? | BUY | 0.069999992 | $8.00 |
| 07-01 12:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 5, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |
| 07-01 12:35 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.0895670836 | $9.00 |
| 07-01 12:34 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.0711111111 | $8.00 |
| 07-01 12:34 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $8.00 |