0xcb39d6f16f6a2da220a1910a7760f54fa7241d84
- Realised P&L
- $-390.96
- Volume
- $166.4k
- Markets traded
- 670
- Open portfolio
- $111.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded670
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.94at 0.198Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$45.09at 0.386US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$33.07at 0.272NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 2?
- +$19.53at 0.170NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on April 20?
- +$18.18at 0.345Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 18:52 | CF América leading at halftime? | SELL | 0.51 | $0.51 |
| 07-31 14:55 | Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.99 |
| 07-31 14:49 | FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9199999815 | $1.99 |
| 07-31 14:46 | AS Monaco vs. Cercle Brugge: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.8199999664 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 14:46 | Will AS Monaco win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.6199999021 | $1.90 |
| 07-31 14:43 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | SELL | 0.52 | $0.88 |
| 07-31 14:42 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.91 |
| 07-31 14:35 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.55 | $0.94 |
| 07-31 14:29 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5599998809 | $1.88 |
| 07-31 14:12 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.55 | $1.88 |
| 07-31 14:11 | Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffs | BUY | 0.5599998809 | $1.88 |
| 07-29 19:43 | Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals | BUY | 0.929999986 | $1.99 |
| 07-29 19:39 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31? | SELL | 0.88 | $1.95 |
| 07-29 19:34 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.37 | $0.58 |
| 07-29 19:33 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.49 |