PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xcb39d6f16f6a2da220a1910a7760f54fa7241d84

Realised P&L
$-390.96
Volume
$166.4k
Markets traded
670
Open portfolio
$111.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded670
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes0.9770.956$64.45$1.44
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.7340.938$17.30+$3.76
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? · No0.9040.963$8.51+$0.51
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · No0.7500.968$5.02+$1.13
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5910.747$2.41+$0.50
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.9100.945$2.06+$0.08
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2300.195$1.60$0.29
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2070.188$1.47$0.16
San Francisco Giants vs. Texas Rangers · Texas Rangers0.9700.645$1.32$0.67
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.4100.265$1.20$0.66
AS Monaco vs. Cercle Brugge: 1st Half O/U 2.5 · Under0.8200.495$1.18$0.77
Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor? · Yes0.9900.525$1.06$0.93
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacks · San Diego Padres0.9700.455$0.93$1.06
Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners · Detroit Tigers0.9700.435$0.89$1.10
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.1790.153$0.81$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 18:52CF América leading at halftime?SELL0.51$0.51
07-31 14:55Game 1: Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor?BUY0.99$1.99
07-31 14:49FK Zorya Luhansk vs. FK Kolos Kovalivka: 1st Half O/U 2.5BUY0.9199999815$1.99
07-31 14:46AS Monaco vs. Cercle Brugge: 1st Half O/U 2.5BUY0.8199999664$1.95
07-31 14:46Will AS Monaco win on 2026-07-31?BUY0.6199999021$1.90
07-31 14:43Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsSELL0.52$0.88
07-31 14:42Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.55$0.91
07-31 14:35Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.55$0.94
07-31 14:29Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5599998809$1.88
07-31 14:12Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.55$1.88
07-31 14:11Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz (BO3) - BLAST Bounty PlayoffsBUY0.5599998809$1.88
07-29 19:43Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington NationalsBUY0.929999986$1.99
07-29 19:39Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by December 31?SELL0.88$1.95
07-29 19:34Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.37$0.58
07-29 19:33Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?SELL0.031$0.49