PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

JasonHall6641

0xcacf8f4b3135fd0b125eac3044068b5d6717115e

Realised P&L
$2.0k
Volume
$270.0k
Markets traded
225
Open portfolio
$3.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded225
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Foreign intervention in Gaza by June 30? · No0.8801.000$1.6k+$191.40
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.2580.842$1.3k+$921.55
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3700.105$100.17$252.88
Weed rescheduled by June 30? · No0.8001.000$65.00+$13.00
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record? · No0.9220.977$42.97+$2.40
Canva IPO before 2027? · Yes0.2200.045$2.16$8.40
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3300.060$0.12$0.54
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31? · No0.8100.000$0.00$187.11
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? · Yes0.4500.000$0.00$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-27 10:03Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?SELL0.035$17.40
04-21 05:05Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?SELL0.88$10.56
04-21 03:29Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?SELL0.68$23.80
04-21 03:27Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?SELL0.68$354.96
04-13 16:24Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?SELL0.87$447.18
04-13 16:23Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?SELL0.87$321.78
04-13 13:27Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in April?BUY0.447$340.61
04-13 12:32Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?BUY0.87$779.52
04-13 10:03Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?SELL0.054$1.08
04-13 10:02Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?SELL0.054$4.37
04-13 09:44 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?SELL0.66$453.42
04-13 04:55Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 27, 2026?SELL0.31$126.79
04-13 04:17Canada recession before 2027?SELL0.6$306.00
04-13 04:16Canada recession before 2027?SELL0.6$174.00
04-12 23:40Will Rumen Radev be the next prime minister of Bulgaria after the 2026 parliamentary election?BUY0.1$59.80