tonton69
0xca903676c5f5561885a38a75109ba10d05a8813a
- Realised P&L
- $-239.72
- Volume
- $10.1k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $79.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.89at 0.299Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026
- +$40.45at 0.110Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026?
- +$30.77at 0.280Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$27.41at 0.267Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by March 31?
- +$26.43at 0.295Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 00:29 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0597490204 | $69.00 |
| 06-13 09:09 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0859737144 | $8.69 |
| 06-10 14:38 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-10 14:38 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.0102795348 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 14:38 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0672973271 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 14:38 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.3499999615 | $5.00 |
| 06-10 14:38 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | BUY | 0.0227146924 | $2.00 |
| 05-21 20:12 | Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.1699999871 | $10.00 |
| 05-03 18:43 | Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.023759065 | $20.00 |
| 05-03 18:42 | Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026 | BUY | 0.29899999 | $20.00 |
| 05-03 18:41 | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999815 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 18:40 | Anthropic valued higher than OpenAI in 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999789 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 18:39 | Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X? | BUY | 0.3399999694 | $4.00 |
| 05-03 18:38 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | BUY | 0.1862744813 | $5.00 |
| 05-03 18:38 | SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? | BUY | 0.289999964 | $5.00 |