0xc8394c9680c4bc424787793adec01934a4fd2104
- Realised P&L
- $-2.80
- Volume
- $114.37
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $12.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No | 0.320 | 0.815 | $5.09 | +$3.09 |
| Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.440 | $3.14 | +$1.14 |
| Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · Yes | 0.511 | 0.480 | $1.88 | −$0.12 |
| Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? · No | 0.720 | 0.675 | $1.87 | −$0.13 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.720 | 0.105 | $0.21 | −$1.25 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.77at 0.410Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.420Will MGM Resorts (MGM) beat quarterly earnings?
- +$1.69at 0.540Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$1.53at 0.500Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $175 Week of July 27 2026?
- +$0.92at 0.670Will Trump say "Percent" 15+ times during Michigan remarks?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 06:39 | Will Getty Images (GETY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-06 10:37 | Will Core CPI YoY be 2.4% in July? | BUY | 0.72 | $2.00 |
| 08-05 02:33 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 18:33 | Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999289 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 10:27 | Will Trump say "Warren Buffett" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 02:27 | Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? | BUY | 0.5109999175 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:22 | Will JOLTS Job Openings be between 7.4M and 7.5M in June? | BUY | 0.7249999819 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 18:01 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.4319999361 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 09:30 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.699999755 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 00:02 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.77 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 16:00 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.76 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 03:48 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 19:48 | New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 19:47 | Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.91 |
| 07-31 11:47 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $1.23 |