0xc7b07ce56f7b05a72e7c21c59689e005b307bbac
- Realised P&L
- $-306.88
- Volume
- $13.7k
- Markets traded
- 37
- Open portfolio
- $341.08
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded37
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$31.75at 0.378Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?
- +$31.21at 0.420Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$27.82at 0.640Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$18.07at 0.493US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$6.68at 0.926Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:29 | Will China blockade Taiwan in 2026? | BUY | 0.0779999889 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 03:23 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.2360655499 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 19:21 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $12.00 |
| 08-01 15:20 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.3899999899 | $12.00 |
| 08-01 11:24 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 08:51 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 08-01 07:18 | China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.0843764455 | $6.00 |
| 08-01 03:21 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999909 | $12.00 |
| 07-31 23:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.010694234 | $12.00 |
| 07-28 03:17 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.06 | $12.00 |
| 07-27 23:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.0699999947 | $12.00 |
| 07-27 19:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.0899999872 | $6.00 |
| 07-27 15:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.129999991 | $12.00 |
| 07-27 11:12 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999144 | $6.00 |
| 07-27 07:16 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.8899999881 | $6.00 |