PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

meklaren

0xc4e12d1921aacbc65557951ca0c6c7a0cdaa5c0c

Realised P&L
$447.02
Volume
$72.2k
Markets traded
100
Open portfolio
$327.66

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded100
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · No0.5690.770$123.20+$32.20
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2050.205$78.80$0.13
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0420.041$30.37$1.12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · Yes0.0520.041$24.30$6.70
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0350.042$21.00+$3.50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.1800.435$18.35+$10.76
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.085$17.00$7.00
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8000.945$9.45+$1.45
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? · Yes0.0350.021$5.19$3.59
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? · Yes0.0460.000$0.00$26.72
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 14:55Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.042$21.54
06-23 08:34Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?BUY0.063$12.60
06-11 17:32Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?SELL0.055$4.67
06-11 17:32Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.19$28.50
06-09 16:53Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.19$19.00
06-09 16:53Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?BUY0.018$1.69
05-25 11:01Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?SELL0.002$1.05
04-17 15:35Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.005$0.05
04-05 06:19US forces enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.002$1.00
04-04 12:18Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPAX?BUY0.021$4.20
04-02 05:16US forces enter Iran by March 31?SELL0.999$49.95
03-21 11:23Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?BUY0.2766666667$4.15
03-17 05:10Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.69$25.87
03-06 19:20Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 7, 2026?BUY0.002$2.00
02-28 07:22US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?SELL0.996$19.92