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Traders

LudwigVonMises

0xc432a1b8fafca668688c23052f4f722552ef0fc9

Realised P&L
$-284.01
Volume
$8.7k
Markets traded
240
Open portfolio
$1.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded240
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.5660.355$329.15$195.85
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.3680.270$274.74$100.26
Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.8190.940$149.25+$19.25
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.8620.926$107.48+$7.48
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats in the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies after the 2026 election? · Yes0.7000.740$52.86+$2.86
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.5230.747$45.66+$13.66
Blue wave in 2026? · No0.2720.255$32.84$2.16
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.4620.174$28.33$46.67
Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.8400.895$26.64+$1.64
Will George Russell be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · No0.4100.945$23.05+$13.05
Will Partido Liberal (PL) hold the most seats as a result of the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.7880.890$11.29+$1.29
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.5580.170$10.67$24.33
Will Elmano de Freitas win the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election? · No0.7000.725$10.36+$0.36
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.6740.415$9.24$5.76
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.2500.075$4.50$10.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 00:59Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?BUY0.6039999968$20.47
07-11 00:57Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8299999973$25.00
06-28 00:34Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.8209999994$50.00
06-28 00:31Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.87175563$35.00
06-21 18:17Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?BUY0.7199999843$9.19
06-21 18:16Will New Zealand be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup?BUY0.7361499267$10.00
06-12 01:28Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.359999987$10.00
06-12 01:26Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.5257936492$50.00
06-12 01:26Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
06-01 01:13Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27?BUY0.0816486665$5.00
06-01 01:13Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals?BUY0.6$10.00
06-01 01:09Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?BUY0.8099999977$50.00
06-01 01:09Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.5999999976$50.00
05-26 02:57Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.550505273$30.00
05-25 00:32Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%?BUY0.1881187839$5.00