LudwigVonMises
0xc432a1b8fafca668688c23052f4f722552ef0fc9
- Realised P&L
- $-284.01
- Volume
- $8.7k
- Markets traded
- 240
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded240
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$220.37at 0.433Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
- +$67.01at 0.069Will "Anaconda" be the top global Netflix movie this week?
- +$33.70at 0.690Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$20.85at 0.590Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$17.44at 0.588Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 00:59 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.6039999968 | $20.47 |
| 07-11 00:57 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8299999973 | $25.00 |
| 06-28 00:34 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8209999994 | $50.00 |
| 06-28 00:31 | Will Austria advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.87175563 | $35.00 |
| 06-21 18:17 | Will Senegal be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.7199999843 | $9.19 |
| 06-21 18:16 | Will New Zealand be eliminated in Group Stage stage of the World Cup? | BUY | 0.7361499267 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 01:28 | Will Portugal reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.359999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-12 01:26 | Will Brazil reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5257936492 | $50.00 |
| 06-12 01:26 | Will Senegal reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 01:13 | Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Toronto Raptors in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.0816486665 | $5.00 |
| 06-01 01:13 | Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 01:09 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.8099999977 | $50.00 |
| 06-01 01:09 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.5999999976 | $50.00 |
| 05-26 02:57 | Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.550505273 | $30.00 |
| 05-25 00:32 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 5%? | BUY | 0.1881187839 | $5.00 |