0xC0E3D7704335510e2f5214C01ebA48641C3B9D82-1763313089432
0xc0e3d7704335510e2f5214c01eba48641c3b9d82
- Realised P&L
- $-262.61
- Volume
- $6.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $21.76
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration74.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$70.00at 0.125Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$58.73at 0.630Nothing Ever Happens: AI Edition
- +$24.30at 0.805Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$19.74at 0.760Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?
- +$19.63at 0.736Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 19:41 | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | BUY | 0.0612614834 | $10.00 |
| 07-30 19:39 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.125 | $10.00 |
| 07-23 15:00 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend | BUY | 0.9179999992 | $50.00 |
| 07-23 15:00 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.91 | $119.73 |
| 07-23 09:34 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999985 | $100.00 |
| 07-23 09:34 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $16.67 |
| 07-20 19:51 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.924999991 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 19:51 | Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.2598583182 | $25.00 |
| 07-20 19:49 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.303623891 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 19:46 | Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999931 | $25.00 |
| 07-20 00:15 | Connecticut Sun vs. Phoenix Mercury | BUY | 0.742721331 | $50.00 |
| 07-20 00:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.8799999951 | $100.00 |
| 07-20 00:08 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | SELL | 0.88 | $119.63 |
| 01-13 21:28 | Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release? | BUY | 0.92 | $100.00 |
| 01-13 21:27 | Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? | BUY | 0.7355864804 | $100.00 |