roboraptors
0xc0b2af148bf7aa2049b01376321312c30f7a9d96
- Realised P&L
- $2.2k
- Volume
- $229.5k
- Markets traded
- 221
- Open portfolio
- $2.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded221
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$990.84at 0.281Will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?
- +$626.15at 0.540Will "Jamie" be said 3+ times on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
- +$515.78at 0.180Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$454.38at 0.188Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?
- +$381.64at 0.170Will Google Gemini score at least 50% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 09:40 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $88.22 |
| 04-23 09:19 | Clemson Tigers vs. Western Carolina Catamounts | BUY | 0.5 | $484.50 |
| 04-13 10:04 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.3 | $150.60 |
| 04-13 10:03 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.3 | $171.00 |
| 04-13 05:10 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | SELL | 0.3015662651 | $25.03 |
| 04-13 04:53 | Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $613.90 |
| 04-13 02:43 | Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. AA Argentinos Juniors: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $876.65 |
| 04-13 02:19 | Will Malta be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $622.67 |
| 04-13 01:06 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.27 | $311.85 |
| 04-12 21:06 | Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.68 |
| 04-12 21:06 | Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? | SELL | 0.26 | $99.06 |
| 04-12 09:47 | Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.8 | $411.20 |
| 04-12 09:47 | Will Denmark be the best Nordic country at Eurovision 2026? | SELL | 0.81 | $107.73 |
| 04-12 09:43 | Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30? | SELL | 0.84 | $258.72 |
| 04-12 05:52 | Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by April 30? | BUY | 0.85 | $261.80 |