outsiderr
0xbf6dc9143d46c2a41973160f96e3a52ed5dcb464
- Realised P&L
- $119.61
- Volume
- $62.5k
- Markets traded
- 195
- Open portfolio
- $526.66
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded195
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.23at 0.320Over $30M committed to the Loyal raise on MetaDAO?
- +$11.25at 0.640LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$8.52at 0.540Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
- +$6.36at 0.440Celtics vs. Pelicans
- +$5.14at 0.280Missouri State vs. Liberty
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 04:18 | Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on August 8? | BUY | 0.998 | $79.84 |
| 08-05 04:18 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on August 8? | BUY | 0.9985380369 | $213.43 |
| 08-05 04:18 | Will the price of Solana be less than $30 on August 8? | BUY | 0.9985380369 | $213.43 |
| 07-29 04:43 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on July 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $506.49 |
| 07-25 02:39 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,200 and $2,300 on July 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $506.49 |
| 07-15 07:19 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on July 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.78 |
| 07-15 07:19 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on July 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $214.78 |
| 07-08 06:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on July 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 07-01 08:09 | Will the price of Solana be between $100 and $110 on July 3? | BUY | 0.9983333333 | $149.75 |
| 07-01 08:09 | Will the price of Solana be between $110 and $120 on July 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $355.64 |
| 06-28 07:33 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 30? | BUY | 0.9985726496 | $233.67 |
| 06-28 07:33 | Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $270.73 |
| 06-16 04:49 | Will the price of Solana be between $40 and $50 on June 18? | BUY | 0.998 | $348.30 |
| 06-16 04:49 | Will the price of Solana be between $30 and $40 on June 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $154.84 |
| 06-13 05:49 | Will the price of Solana be between $20 and $30 on June 15? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.90 |