PolyBot

Browsing is read-only · trading funds are held by PolyBot

Sign in

Traders

0xbdfd37f198b5bad8dcf813971725722ab8cbb773

Realised P&L
$-1.38
Volume
$46.47
Markets traded
20
Open portfolio
$6.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded20
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample13 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration25.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026? · No0.6010.953$1.58+$0.58
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.7800.932$1.19+$0.19
Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.8000.790$0.99$0.01
Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable? · No0.7200.615$0.85$0.15
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.6200.505$0.81$0.19
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.2300.095$0.41$0.59
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7300.165$0.23$0.77
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.3000.035$0.11$0.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-07 11:05Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6009999447$1.00
08-07 03:02Will Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.8$1.00
08-06 18:52Will Trump say "Transgender" during Friday roundtable?BUY0.719999856$1.00
08-06 10:49Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.239999856$1.00
08-06 10:48Will Opendoor Technologies Inc. (OPEN) hit (LOW) $3.50 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.77$1.00
08-06 01:00SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
08-05 16:55Will Under Armour (UAA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.4699998778$1.00
08-05 08:50SPY (SPY) Up or Down on August 5?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-05 00:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.6199998512$1.00
08-04 16:22Will Trump say "Beautiful" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.4199998236$1.00
08-04 08:21Will Trump say "Through the Roof" during remarks in Las Vegas?BUY0.3699998631$1.00
08-04 00:20Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $74 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.3799999012$1.00
08-03 16:17Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.32$1.00
08-03 08:14Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $345 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.29999982$1.00
08-02 21:05Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.2299998275$1.00