nortti
0xbd335a56b2d8c716f6283f6d990825f040178431
- Realised P&L
- $-270.97
- Volume
- $54.9k
- Markets traded
- 5,484
- Open portfolio
- $183.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,484
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.01at 0.519Will Trump refrain from announcing a next Fed Chair in 2025?
- +$84.80at 0.658Clarity Act signed into law in 2025?
- +$67.29at 0.565Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?
- +$55.78at 0.456Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$51.69at 0.582Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-07 21:30 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2813680841 | $9.73 |
| 06-01 20:16 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4708291891 | $100.00 |
| 06-01 20:11 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 20:09 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $20.00 |
| 06-01 20:07 | Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 06-01 20:03 | Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 19:26 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | SELL | 0.47 | $9.79 |
| 03-15 19:25 | US x Iran ceasefire by May 31? | BUY | 0.4799999827 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 19:23 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.1399999727 | $4.00 |
| 03-15 19:22 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 19:17 | Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999846 | $10.00 |
| 03-15 19:13 | Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 03-15 19:09 | Will Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.2199999727 | $5.00 |
| 02-28 07:24 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999869 | $10.00 |
| 02-28 06:58 | Will Frankenstein win Best Production Design at the 98th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |