jerry1968
0xbc07891a48bd9d56766fbad9f1e6ba63188c8861
- Realised P&L
- $-9.18
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $14.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.165 | $8.25 | −$1.75 |
| Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.002 | $3.75 | −$1.25 |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.25 | −$1.25 |
| Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $1.25 | −$1.25 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on August 9? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.99at 0.520Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5?
- +$2.38at 0.220Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4?
- +$-0.05at 0.570Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 11:18 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C or below on August 9? | BUY | 0.0054942821 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 23:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.73 | $13.87 |
| 08-04 12:38 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 5? | BUY | 0.52 | $9.88 |
| 08-04 12:37 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 08-04 01:47 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.39 | $5.46 |
| 08-04 01:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.22 | $3.08 |
| 08-03 16:09 | Will Mohamed Salah win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 08-03 16:09 | Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 08-03 16:01 | Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 15:41 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-03 15:37 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |