tryingout1
0xba0e86ed0b403c7a7d5c4816c752fb34c9775ceb
- Realised P&L
- $22.7k
- Volume
- $823.0k
- Markets traded
- 149
- Open portfolio
- $83.0k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded149
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration24.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.679Will Rodrygo Silva de Goes sign with a new club during the transfer window?
- +$1.1kat 0.632Will Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
- +$1.0kat 0.903Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
- +$985.34at 0.919Putin out as President of Russia in 2025?
- +$960.47at 0.698Will Elon Musk unfollow Donald Trump before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 10:32 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.955 | $334.84 |
| 08-02 10:28 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.4k |
| 08-02 10:27 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.999 | $3.8k |
| 08-02 10:22 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.92 | $6.4k |
| 08-02 10:20 | Will Declan Rice win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.998 | $3.4k |
| 08-02 10:14 | Will Joao Cancelo join Barcelona? | BUY | 0.87 | $20.18 |
| 07-20 11:20 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.926534844 | $6.0k |
| 07-19 22:31 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.86 | $4.3k |
| 07-19 22:30 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.89 | $3.6k |
| 07-19 22:28 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.8860649047 | $386.89 |
| 07-08 12:11 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.77 | $370.36 |
| 07-08 12:07 | Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.95 | $380.00 |
| 07-01 15:19 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.94 | $474.02 |
| 06-18 18:51 | Will Cristiano Ronaldo win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.976 | $401.53 |
| 06-09 12:06 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.92 | $2.8k |