PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xb72847e8bfa842690d9be5ced039e841130768ac

Realised P&L
$-3.84
Volume
$59.84
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$14.01

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-6.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration56.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.3500.845$4.83+$2.83
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5500.605$2.20+$0.20
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No0.7900.825$2.09+$0.09
Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes0.7000.650$1.86$0.14
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4900.395$1.61$0.39
Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings? · No0.6000.265$0.88$1.12
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? · Yes0.4200.145$0.49$0.94
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · No0.4100.009$0.04$1.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:04Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.7899999289$2.00
08-02 19:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5499999725$2.00
08-02 11:57Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.34999993$2.00
08-02 11:42US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4899999534$2.00
08-02 03:28Will TKO Group (TKO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.59999994$2.00
08-01 19:27Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4?BUY0.4099999446$2.00
08-01 11:27Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4199999413$1.43
08-01 02:33Will Figma (FIG) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.699999755$2.00
07-31 18:30Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.4989999935$1.99
07-31 10:29New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$2.00
07-30 14:30Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53
07-29 21:48Will Trump say "Iran" or "Israel" 10+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6499997374$1.98
07-29 05:29Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference?BUY0.6699999498$1.87
07-28 11:57Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 27 to July 29, 2026?BUY0.6299998884$1.92
07-28 02:37Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.53