PolyBot

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Traders

0xb653a00f9851de31621b022e4a85f12e94a7942e

Realised P&L
$6.89
Volume
$101.33
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$9.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.8%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · Yes0.5600.835$2.98+$0.98
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6400.900$2.81+$0.81
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? · No0.5900.525$1.78$0.22
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.7600.450$1.18$0.82
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2300.135$1.17$0.83

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 17:29Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026?BUY0.5899999675$2.00
08-04 09:29Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.76$2.00
08-04 01:28Will ISM Services PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in July?BUY0.77$2.00
08-03 17:28Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.229999916$2.00
08-03 09:27Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (HIGH) $600 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-03 01:01US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.5599999664$2.00
08-02 16:59Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.6499999025$2.00
08-02 06:49Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-01 22:46Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.64$2.00
08-01 13:55Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-01 04:37New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95
07-31 20:37Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.5019999689$2.00
07-31 12:36Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026?BUY0.48$1.80
07-31 02:06Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?BUY0.41$1.23
07-30 00:59Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?BUY0.5099999268$1.95