flupssy
0xb15d2788d0d0b25007796cf6ca325e46551704d8
- Realised P&L
- $-5.00
- Volume
- $39.4k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $17.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $15.41 | +$0.01 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No | 0.830 | 0.964 | $1.68 | +$0.23 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.18at 0.610Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?
- +$1.83at 0.740Circle IPO in 2025?
- +$1.64at 0.550Will ETH or SOL reach all-time high first?
- +$1.44at 0.870Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in October 2025?
- +$1.34at 0.850Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.20-1.24°C?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 16:42 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $72,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.40 |
| 08-03 23:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on August 4? | BUY | 0.9989999948 | $14.91 |
| 06-25 02:58 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 in June? | BUY | 0.9989999426 | $5.67 |
| 06-25 02:56 | Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? | BUY | 0.9979999484 | $5.42 |
| 06-18 19:39 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 20? | BUY | 0.999 | $109.03 |
| 06-16 14:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $111.23 |
| 05-22 12:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $265.34 |
| 05-20 06:49 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on May 21? | BUY | 0.9989999987 | $262.39 |
| 05-16 20:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $254.05 |
| 05-12 04:41 | Trump out as President by May 31? | BUY | 0.9939999985 | $2.62 |
| 04-27 15:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 28? | BUY | 0.9989999966 | $260.82 |
| 04-23 14:44 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on April 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $260.59 |
| 04-22 15:27 | Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June? | BUY | 0.977 | $3.06 |
| 04-17 09:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $255.18 |
| 04-14 02:40 | Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April? | BUY | 0.997999964 | $3.71 |