PolyBot

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Traders

0xb0a76d7139a3f050434768f991839519983fa468

Realised P&L
$2.23
Volume
$148.48
Markets traded
32
Open portfolio
$12.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded32
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July? · Yes0.5110.537$2.10+$0.10
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July? · No0.5300.545$2.06+$0.06
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6? · Down0.4100.415$2.02+$0.02
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July? · Yes0.6700.665$1.99$0.01
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes0.2100.165$1.57$0.43
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · Yes0.3200.215$1.34$0.66
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4300.165$0.77$1.23
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.4300.145$0.67$1.33

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-06 00:07S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 6?BUY0.4099999446$2.00
08-05 16:07Will monthly inflation increase by 0.1% or more in July?BUY0.6699999196$2.00
08-05 08:07US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.32$2.00
08-05 00:06Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
08-04 16:06Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?BUY0.5109999175$2.00
08-04 08:06Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-04 00:05Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $85 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-03 16:05Will Atmos Energy (ATO) beat quarterly earnings?BUY0.6899997205$2.00
08-03 08:05Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $212 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.6899999586$2.00
08-02 23:32Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2099999286$2.00
08-02 15:31Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July?BUY0.2399999184$2.00
08-02 07:21US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4299999505$2.00
08-01 23:16Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2199999164$2.00
08-01 23:10Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.7899996998$2.00
08-01 15:01Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?BUY0.2399999184$2.00