0xaFA6Ab5Ce2D738cB93d624c9f6438dA12d44d54A-1772409331132
0xafa6ab5ce2d738cb93d624c9f6438da12d44d54a
- Realised P&L
- $-50.21
- Volume
- $901.18
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $325.28
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.652 | 0.805 | $149.86 | +$28.53 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.855 | $139.48 | +$28.55 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.515 | $35.94 | +$8.72 |
| Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-05? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.30 |
| Will Big AI be out as #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by March 8? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$60.52 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.67at 0.870Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
- +$-33.94at 0.320Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 12:40 | Will claude-opus-5-max be the best AI model on August 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.6517363289 | $121.33 |
| 08-02 02:40 | Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $110.93 |
| 07-31 23:47 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.3899999957 | $27.22 |
| 06-28 04:07 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.8699999972 | $24.56 |
| 06-28 04:02 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28? | SELL | 0.10280704 | $16.06 |
| 06-27 15:06 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 28? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 04-05 08:09 | Will Zhejiang Zhiye FC win on 2026-04-05? | BUY | 0.6001214517 | $24.30 |