aave300
0xaf117b26efbe06b4abd5f1c00efb7e9b847cbe82
- Realised P&L
- $-33.84
- Volume
- $35.7k
- Markets traded
- 101
- Open portfolio
- $88.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded101
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)92.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.63at 0.578Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?
- +$7.56at 0.640Spain to win the second half?
- +$6.30at 0.700Spain leading at halftime?
- +$4.52at 0.890Exact Score: Spain 1 - 0 Argentina?
- +$0.15at 0.999Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 June 8-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 06:07 | Will Solana dip to $10 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 08-06 06:07 | Will XRP dip to $0.20 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.00 |
| 08-06 06:07 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.00 |
| 08-06 06:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on August 9? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.00 |
| 08-06 06:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 08-06 06:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.00 |
| 08-06 06:06 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 06:05 | Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.00 |
| 08-06 05:59 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from August 6 to August 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 05:58 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.00 |
| 08-06 05:58 | Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.00 |
| 08-06 05:58 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 03:23 | Spread: Spain (-1.5) | BUY | 0.195 | $4.37 |
| 07-19 03:21 | Spain to win the second half? | BUY | 0.64 | $13.44 |
| 07-19 03:21 | Spain leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.7 | $14.70 |