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Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?

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Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-08-14
Resolves by
https://x.com/elonmusk

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.002. down 0.004 over the period, from 0.005. Range 0.002 to 0.005. 66 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0022,6602,660
0.0035083,168
0.0042003,368
0.0053003,668
0.006223,690
0.0107074,397
0.0121564,553
0.0151004,653
0.0201374,790
0.0251004,890
0.0301375,027
0.035405,067

Spread0.001Mid0.002

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.00116,16616,166

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.99916,16616,166

Spread0.001Mid0.998

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9982,6602,660
0.9975083,168
0.9962003,368
0.9953003,668
0.994223,690
0.9907074,397
0.9881564,553
0.9851004,653
0.9801374,790
0.9751004,890
0.9701375,027
0.965405,067

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
LordYeahYes14,999.88
PoiuztrewqYes1,799.93
0xaea825a7eaafa49b59b61af8f376923dc1e4ffYes1,343.89
hetaczYes1,000
Iamfine109Yes1,000
smalltimezzzYes866.29
MelaoYes190
Kaiji123Yes166.3
runes-leoYes150
0xC1471e5e80f7c5149f5D29bcf7-0717159345256Yes150
zz666Yes130
1111Yes105
BitgodYes100
pestanimalYes100
TENETENETYes99.97
ElastinYes20
GlycogenYes15
triklozoidYes15
bjproloYes10
neverhackmeYes10

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
18:13:32SELLYes0.00115$0.01
16:52:30SELLYes0.00120$0.02
14:57:48BUYNo0.99923$22.98
14:39:11SELLYes0.0015,005$5.00
14:12:15BUYNo0.99935$35.09
13:01:20BUYNo0.999120$120.00
12:59:59BUYNo0.99951$51.00
12:59:09BUYNo0.99998$98.00
12:55:15BUYNo0.999100$100.00
12:51:21BUYNo0.99965$65.00
12:48:30BUYNo0.99990$90.00
12:40:48BUYNo0.99958$58.00
09:18:32BUYNo0.99930$30.00
09:16:09BUYNo0.999108$108.00
09:15:26BUYNo0.99951$51.00
09:14:17BUYNo0.99972$72.00
08:15:51SELLYes0.0015,000$5.00
07:50:20BUYNo0.99943$43.04
07:48:11BUYNo0.999100$99.90
06:54:12BUYNo0.9995$5.00
05:58:57BUYNo0.9996$6.00
05:26:32BUYNo0.9994$4.00
02:30:12SELLYes0.00120$0.02
02:21:41BUYNo0.99922$21.98
02:17:36BUYNo0.99945$45.00
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from August 7 to August… · PolyBot