PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xaefe800ac3177db2a6ceb13fe8e3bb2f0edfba5d

Realised P&L
$0.47
Volume
$19.99
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$8.43

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample4 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)25.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.6501.000$1.54+$0.54
Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.6600.997$1.51+$0.51
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? · No0.7961.000$1.26+$0.26
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.7800.815$1.04+$0.04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? · Yes0.8000.815$1.02+$0.02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6900.675$0.98$0.02
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.7300.405$0.55$0.45
Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes0.4300.235$0.55$0.45

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 03:31Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (HIGH) $385 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.429999828$1.00
08-03 19:30Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?BUY0.8$1.00
08-03 19:30US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
08-03 10:01Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026?BUY0.66$1.00
08-02 21:17Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.78$1.00
08-02 01:26US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.7299998102$1.00
08-01 17:05Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026?BUY0.7959992995$1.00
08-01 15:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.65$1.00
08-01 02:35New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00
07-31 18:28Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?BUY0.498999505$1.00
07-31 10:25Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00
07-30 17:13Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?BUY0.5$1.00