0xaE4D44634a5C6d208642982aBf05E2b4F294c958-1779731493293
0xae4d44634a5c6d208642982abf05e2b4f294c958
- Realised P&L
- $-119.22
- Volume
- $8.3k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $12.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.58at 0.167Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
- +$46.55at 0.049Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
- +$27.55at 0.412US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?
- +$15.64at 0.390Will ETO FC win on 2026-07-14?
- +$15.64at 0.390Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 18:29 | LoL: Team Heretics vs Fnatic - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 08-07 17:52 | Total Kills Over/Under 27.5 in Game 1? | BUY | 0.549999956 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 17:52 | LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | SELL | 0.999 | $8.76 |
| 08-07 16:44 | LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.5699999555 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 16:42 | LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.999 | $8.61 |
| 08-07 15:48 | Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? | BUY | 0.5599999776 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 14:17 | LoL: Shifters vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 08-07 14:06 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.5199999834 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 18:21 | AFC Ajax vs. Shelbourne FC: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.5799999954 | $5.00 |
| 08-06 15:51 | MH Maccabi Tel Aviv vs. PFK CSKA Sofia: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.0370000014 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:34 | LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.048999954 | $1.00 |
| 08-06 15:31 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.6199999628 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 19:42 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.64 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 16:16 | LoL: GIANTX iTero vs LUA Gaming (BO3) - LES Regular Season | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 08-05 14:48 | Game Handicap: GXI (-1.5) vs LUA Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.4399999648 | $5.00 |