PhilipHoover6693
0xaae614cee780b0ceeff0f3da9e07d3e266133d05
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $147.5k
- Markets traded
- 188
- Open portfolio
- $120.68
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded188
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.200 | 0.150 | $56.85 | −$18.95 |
| Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · No | 0.550 | 0.450 | $32.40 | −$7.20 |
| Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI | 0.400 | 0.105 | $27.93 | −$78.47 |
| Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.875 | $3.50 | +$2.18 |
| Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$414.92at 0.540Dundee United FC vs. Aberdeen FC: O/U 1.5
- +$360.08at 0.440Solana Up or Down - February 17, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET
- +$323.61at 0.160Will Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Riyadh Saudi Club end in a draw?
- +$302.73at 0.190Will "Ann Michael Maye" be said at the Super Bowl?
- +$298.10at 0.450Will Trump say "Fat" this week? (January 18)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 14:25 | New pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.1 | $48.40 |
| 04-27 08:48 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $290.50 |
| 04-27 08:47 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | SELL | 0.83 | $391.76 |
| 04-27 08:46 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | SELL | 0.82 | $733.08 |
| 04-23 14:52 | Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30? | BUY | 0.83 | $1.4k |
| 04-13 10:07 | Will one person dissent the April Fed decision? | SELL | 0.39 | $307.71 |
| 04-12 01:37 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30? | SELL | 0.973 | $224.76 |
| 04-11 19:31 | Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30? | SELL | 0.977 | $64.48 |
| 04-11 09:02 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | SELL | 0.87 | $669.90 |
| 04-11 09:01 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | SELL | 0.87 | $7.83 |
| 04-11 09:00 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | SELL | 0.87 | $7.83 |
| 04-11 08:08 | Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" on Truth Social this week? | SELL | 0.88 | $10.56 |
| 04-10 07:19 | Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama Lions | BUY | 0.478 | $54.01 |
| 04-10 06:46 | Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" on Truth Social this week? | BUY | 0.87 | $522.00 |
| 04-10 06:27 | Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m? | BUY | 0.85 | $669.80 |