PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

PhilipHoover6693

0xaae614cee780b0ceeff0f3da9e07d3e266133d05

Realised P&L
$1.6k
Volume
$147.5k
Markets traded
188
Open portfolio
$120.68

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded188
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over0.2000.150$56.85$18.95
Will Bernie endorse James Talarico for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? · No0.5500.450$32.40$7.20
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? · OpenAI0.4000.105$27.93$78.47
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? · Yes0.3300.875$3.50+$2.18
Israel and Syria normalize relations by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$0.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 14:25New pandemic in 2026?SELL0.1$48.40
04-27 08:48Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?SELL0.83$290.50
04-27 08:47Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?SELL0.83$391.76
04-27 08:46Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?SELL0.82$733.08
04-23 14:52Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?BUY0.83$1.4k
04-13 10:07Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?SELL0.39$307.71
04-12 01:37Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?SELL0.973$224.76
04-11 19:31Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?SELL0.977$64.48
04-11 09:02Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?SELL0.87$669.90
04-11 09:01Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?SELL0.87$7.83
04-11 09:00Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?SELL0.87$7.83
04-11 08:08Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" on Truth Social this week?SELL0.88$10.56
04-10 07:19Central Arkansas Bears vs. North Alabama LionsBUY0.478$54.01
04-10 06:46Will Trump post "Free Tina Peters" on Truth Social this week?BUY0.87$522.00
04-10 06:27Will "You, Me & Tuscany" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?BUY0.85$669.80