PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

marlboroman2

0xaab674486bc938bfad6a7473448ea2a4f9b2607e

Realised P&L
$-2.0k
Volume
$1.05M
Markets traded
7,835
Open portfolio
$7.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,835
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration67.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration71.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Fed rate hike in 2026? · Yes0.6350.675$5.4k+$316.10
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.8130.887$1.3k+$109.48
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? · Yes0.5070.630$453.81+$88.22
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · No0.3370.190$126.77$98.31
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? · No0.3480.095$95.00$252.99
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2900.195$78.00$38.00
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3640.194$77.60$68.00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1950.205$41.00+$2.00
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 · Over0.4400.000$0.00$33.00
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$45.00
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0380.000$0.00$49.50

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 02:56Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.66$3.30
07-23 02:56Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.66$11.22
07-14 04:45Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2$20.00
06-23 17:23Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.6$120.00
06-23 13:54Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.59$59.00
06-23 08:58Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.58$116.00
06-23 07:26Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.58$116.00
06-23 07:25Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.246$369.00
06-22 16:28Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.58$174.00
06-22 13:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?SELL0.245$122.50
06-22 09:38Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.6$250.48
06-22 05:59Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.61$122.00
06-22 03:31Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?SELL0.21$109.20
06-22 03:30Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.61$152.50
06-22 01:07Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.61$122.00