0xaA32d8c16240EB1F2e6258181Fcb983e86D3A55B-1771651946203
0xaa32d8c16240eb1f2e6258181fcb983e86d3a55b
- Realised P&L
- $-419.71
- Volume
- $9.0k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $172.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$85.85at 0.250Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?
- +$81.37at 0.462Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
- +$26.79at 0.661Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?
- +$25.00at 0.359Will Czechia qualify for the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$18.34at 0.220Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 21:09 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.5299999737 | $8.87 |
| 07-18 18:37 | Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.17 |
| 07-15 16:48 | Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.4659999914 | $4.00 |
| 07-14 20:22 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.04 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 19:22 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.409999991 | $10.00 |
| 07-14 05:02 | Will France reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 07-10 20:55 | Will Belgium reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999831 | $3.00 |
| 07-09 19:48 | Will the semifinals be FRA vs ESP and NOR vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 07-09 19:44 | Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7799999938 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 21:15 | Will Croatia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.79 |
| 07-02 15:15 | Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.88 | $35.20 |
| 06-30 19:28 | Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.64 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 14:25 | Will Norway reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6499999935 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 02:24 | Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5205519788 | $20.00 |
| 06-29 18:57 | Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.05 | $1.72 |