Xypherz
0xa3a8558b2f3a9720226785dcdc40c929e2e28d63
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $56.9k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $291.50
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.940 | 0.945 | $94.50 | +$0.50 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.785 | $78.50 | −$1.50 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.410 | 0.685 | $68.50 | +$27.50 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No | 0.500 | 0.914 | $45.73 | +$20.73 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.086 | $4.28 | −$20.73 |
| 76ers vs. Pelicans · 76ers | 0.605 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$611.00 |
| Rockets vs. Knicks · Rockets | 0.903 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.4k |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.534 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.68 |
| Cavaliers vs. Thunder · Cavaliers | 0.590 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$489.70 |
| Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks · Cavaliers | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$310.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$301.32at 0.820Pistons vs. Bulls
- +$115.20at 0.935Kings vs. Spurs
- +$108.04at 0.790Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?
- +$29.40at 0.860US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
- +$20.00at 0.670Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 09:42 | Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 07-16 09:41 | Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.41 | $0.39 |
| 07-07 02:50 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.85 | $17.00 |
| 06-29 05:40 | Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.92 | $18.40 |
| 06-20 15:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.93 | $18.60 |
| 06-14 10:26 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.993 | $19.86 |
| 06-01 16:31 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.534 | $10.68 |
| 05-20 05:00 | Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | SELL | 0.21 | $69.30 |
| 05-19 08:52 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.31 | $310.00 |
| 05-19 01:05 | Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 05-19 01:04 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $3.80 |
| 05-17 12:53 | Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.80 |
| 05-17 07:03 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $9.50 |
| 05-17 07:03 | Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31? | BUY | 0.992 | $9.92 |
| 05-17 07:03 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.947 | $9.47 |