PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Xypherz

0xa3a8558b2f3a9720226785dcdc40c929e2e28d63

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$56.9k
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$291.50

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration50.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample31 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026? · No0.9400.945$94.50+$0.50
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by October 31, 2026? · No0.8000.785$78.50$1.50
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? · No0.4100.685$68.50+$27.50
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.5000.914$45.73+$20.73
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.5000.086$4.28$20.73
76ers vs. Pelicans · 76ers0.6050.000$0.00$611.00
Rockets vs. Knicks · Rockets0.9030.000$0.00$1.4k
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.5340.000$0.00$10.68
Cavaliers vs. Thunder · Cavaliers0.5900.000$0.00$489.70
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$3.00
Cavaliers vs. Knicks · Cavaliers0.3100.000$0.00$310.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 09:42Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?BUY0.94$94.00
07-16 09:41Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?BUY0.41$0.39
07-07 02:50Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.85$17.00
06-29 05:40Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.92$18.40
06-20 15:44Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?BUY0.93$18.60
06-14 10:26Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.993$19.86
06-01 16:31MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?BUY0.534$10.68
05-20 05:00Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL0.21$69.30
05-19 08:52Cavaliers vs. KnicksBUY0.31$310.00
05-19 01:05Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?SELL0.001$0.01
05-19 01:04Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?SELL0.001$3.80
05-17 12:53Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?BUY0.001$3.80
05-17 07:03US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?BUY0.95$9.50
05-17 07:03Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?BUY0.992$9.92
05-17 07:03Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?BUY0.947$9.47