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Traders

fatalisty

0xa2f0ff6026662d63db70d30f884996a8a036565e

Realised P&L
$-34.75
Volume
$5.1k
Markets traded
29
Open portfolio
$67.11

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded29
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration83.8% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)21.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2120.278$13.09+$3.09
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1030.135$13.06+$3.06
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · No0.6040.540$8.95$1.05
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5300.455$8.58$1.42
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1630.117$7.21$2.79
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.2690.188$6.98$3.02
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0760.018$5.18$17.28
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1600.065$4.06$5.94
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? · No0.7400.000$0.00$5.61
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? · No0.2480.000$0.00$30.32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.3960.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 09:09US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?SELL0.13$1.94
04-21 09:07US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?SELL0.79$16.72
04-20 08:03US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?BUY0.5$7.45
04-20 08:02US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?SELL0.044$2.45
04-19 22:06US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?BUY0.4724409348$10.00
04-19 21:36US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?BUY0.1099999853$6.12
04-19 18:59US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?SELL0.59$29.79
04-19 18:50Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?SELL0.5$17.27
04-15 20:42Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?SELL0.08$9.02
04-12 22:07Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?BUY0.1799999792$6.22
04-12 19:18Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 14, 2026?BUY0.2299999692$5.00
04-12 01:10US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?BUY0.3960533286$40.00
04-12 01:10Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?SELL0.21$40.34
04-08 22:59Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?BUY0.0699999874$5.00
04-08 22:59Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?BUY0.1674820144$5.82